A newly released opinion poll by Mizani Africa has stirred fresh political debate after placing Edwin Sifuna ahead of President William Ruto in Vihiga County.
According to the survey, Sifuna commands 34.4% support among respondents, while Ruto follows at 29%.
A significant 16%of voters remain undecided, highlighting a volatile electorate that could shift the balance as the 2027 race gradually takes shape.
Beyond the headline numbers, the poll reveals a deeper political undercurrent. Several opposition figures, though individually trailing, collectively command notable support.
Former Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i registers 8.3%, Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka 4.7%, and David Maraga 2.6%. Others include Rigathi Gachagua at 2.2%, Ndindi Nyoro at 1.4% and Okiya Omtatah at 0.4%.
Analysts suggest that if these opposition-leaning candidates were to unite behind a single contender, the combined support could surpass 50%, well above Ruto’s current standing.
This raises the possibility that coalition-building, rather than individual candidacies, could define the outcome in regions like Vihiga.
Sifuna’s strong showing is also being linked to his growing political profile within the Orange Democratic Movement and his alignment with factions critical of the Broad-Based Government.
This positioning appears to be resonating with voters in Western Kenya, where opposition politics has historically held firm ground.
While it remains early in the electoral cycle, the findings point to a shifting landscape in Vihiga County.
More importantly, they suggest that Sifuna is increasingly being viewed not just as a contender, but as a potential focal point for opposition unity heading into the 2027 general election.
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